Middle Tennessee Luxury Market: September 12 to 19, 2026

This is the first edition of a weekly series tracking what is actually happening in Middle Tennessee’s luxury market, city by city, using fresh Realtracs numbers pulled this morning.

The short version: Williamson County ran essentially even this week, while in Davidson County more listings expired or were cancelled than went under contract. Franklin and Belle Meade led their counties. College Grove stayed the slowest market on our map.

Williamson County: an even week

Across Williamson County, 125 homes went under contract while 126 listings expired or were cancelled between September 12 and 19. That is about as even as a week gets, which means this is a market where pricing discipline decides who sells and who sits.

August closed with 4.93 months of supply countywide. In plain English: at August’s sales pace, it would take just under five months to sell everything currently listed. That is a market where buyers have real choices, so sellers who price ahead of the market get punished and sellers who price with the market get rewarded.

Homes that closed in August averaged 27 days on market. Translation: well priced homes are still moving in under a month.

Franklin: the strongest city in the county

Franklin saw 46 homes go under contract against 42 that expired or were cancelled. That ratio makes Franklin the strongest of Williamson County’s major cities this week.

August supply sat at 4.78 months, with closed homes averaging 26 days on market. Translation: Franklin remains the deepest buyer pool in the county, but even here, 42 sellers watched their listings die this week. Depth of demand does not save a bad price.

Brentwood: buyers have the leverage

Brentwood went 22 under contract against 27 expired or cancelled. August supply was 5.22 months, the highest of the big three Williamson cities, with homes averaging 29 days on market.

Translation: Brentwood is the most buyer friendly of the major Williamson markets right now. Sellers here need to be the sharpest priced house on their street, not the most hopeful.

Nolensville: quietly healthy

Nolensville posted 18 homes under contract against 12 expired or cancelled, one of the few areas where more homes sold than died. August supply was 4.56 months with 27 average days on market.

Translation: Nolensville is absorbing its inventory. For a city that keeps adding new construction, that is a genuinely healthy sign.

College Grove: the slowest market on the map

College Grove remains the toughest sell in our coverage: 1 home went under contract while 3 expired or were cancelled. August supply was 7.61 months, by far the highest anywhere we track, and closed homes averaged 37 days on market.

Translation: at August’s pace it would take more than seven months to clear current inventory. College Grove sellers are competing against a deep bench of listings, and patience plus realistic pricing are the only playbook.

Thompson’s Station: tightest supply in Williamson

Thompson’s Station went 11 under contract against 16 expired or cancelled, but August supply was just 4.21 months, the tightest in Williamson County, with homes averaging 24 days on market.

Translation: fewer choices for buyers here than anywhere else in the county. When supply is this tight, correctly priced homes move fast.

Davidson County: more listings died than sold

Davidson County is the week’s cautionary tale. Between September 12 and 19, 281 listings expired or were cancelled while only 225 went under contract. That means roughly one in four more listings died than sold.

August supply was 6.53 months, the highest county level reading on our map. In plain English: Davidson County currently holds more than six months of inventory at August’s sales pace, a clear buyers market where sellers must lead with price.

Belle Meade: the bright spot in Davidson

Belle Meade was the standout luxury pocket in Davidson County: 13 homes went under contract against just 6 expired or cancelled, the best ratio of any Davidson area we track. August supply was 5.63 months with 26 average days on market.

Translation: Belle Meade’s buyer pool is still showing up. Well positioned homes here are finding contracts while the broader county struggles.

Green Hills and Forest Hills: a split picture

Green Hills and Forest Hills share the 37215 area in Realtracs reporting, so we read them together: 8 homes went under contract against 15 expired or cancelled. August supply was 6.65 months with 26 average days on market.

Translation: nearly twice as many listings died as sold this week. This pocket is behaving like the broader Davidson market, not like Belle Meade next door.

Oak Hill: three listings do not make a market

Oak Hill posted 1 home under contract against 3 expired or cancelled. The monthly figures available are zip level rather than city level, which covers a wider area than Oak Hill itself, so we are not drawing conclusions from one week.

Translation: check back next week. One week of three listings is noise, not signal.

What this means if you are selling

Two things matter more than anything else right now. First, the market is splitting by micro market: Franklin, Nolensville, and Belle Meade are absorbing listings while College Grove, Green Hills, and much of Davidson County are watching them expire. Your zip code is not your market; your street is.

Second, expired listings are the story of September. When more listings die than sell, as they did in Davidson County this week, it means a meaningful number of sellers tested the market and lost. The common thread in expired listings is almost always price relative to condition, not the market itself.

What this means if you are buying

Supply is the highest it has been in our tracking across most of the map, and motivated sellers are everywhere in the expired data. This is the best negotiating environment luxury buyers in Middle Tennessee have seen in years, especially in Brentwood, College Grove, and Davidson County.

About these numbers

Weekly figures cover September 12 to 19, 2026, pulled directly from Realtracs this morning. Monthly supply and days on market figures are August 2026, the most recent month available. Small city monthly figures for Oak Hill and Belle Meade use zip code level data, which covers a wider area than each city; Green Hills and Forest Hills share the 37215 reporting area.

Want to know what your home is worth in this market? Text or call (615) 545-1251 for a complimentary Home Wealth Report: a property specific valuation with real comps, delivered within a day.